CFTC Announces Prediction Markets Roundtable
WASHINGTON, D. C. — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission will
hold a public roundtable in approximately 45 days at the conclusion of
its requests for information on certain sports-related event
contracts. The goal of the roundtable is to develop a robust
administrative record with studies, data, expert reports, and public
input from a wide variety of stakeholder groups to inform the
Commission’s approach to regulation and oversight of prediction
markets, including sports-related event contracts.
The
roundtable will be held in the Conference Center at the CFTC's
headquarters at Three Lafayette Centre, 1155 21st Street N. W. ,
Washington, D. C. Further information on the roundtable will be
released once details are finalized.
“Unfortunately, the undue
delay and anti-innovation policies of the past several years have
severely restricted the CFTC’s ability to pivot to common-sense
regulation of prediction markets,” said Acting Chairman Caroline D.
Pham. “Despite my repeated dissents and other objections since 2022,
the current Commission interpretations regarding event contracts are a
sinkhole of legal uncertainty and an inappropriate constraint on the
new Administration. Prediction markets are an important new frontier
in harnessing the power of markets to assess sentiment to determine
probabilities that can bring truth to the Information Age. The CFTC
must break with its past hostility to innovation and take a forward-
looking approach to the possibilities of the future.
“As the
preeminent federal regulator mandated to oversee the $400 trillion
notional derivatives markets that drive the real economy and safeguard
the public interest, the CFTC is required to follow the rule of law
and the Administrative Procedure Act to change course. This roundtable
is a necessary first step in order to establish a holistic regulatory
framework that will both foster thriving prediction markets and
protect retail customers from binary options fraud such as deceptive
and abusive marketing and sales practices. The CFTC appreciates the
proactive engagement from market participants and looks forward to
working together to support innovation while ensuring robust customer
protection in our markets. ”
The CFTC has identified several
key obstacles to balanced regulation of prediction markets: existing
Commission orders issued to designated contract markets (DCMs)
pursuant to regulation 40. 11 and related Commission interpretations;
Commission rulemakings on event contracts; federal circuit court of
appeals and district court orders and opinions, including that “gaming
involves games”; the CFTC’s legal arguments and litigating positions
in several ongoing federal court cases; CFTC-registered entities’
legal arguments in court that event contracts based on games or sports
contests or sporting events constitute “gaming” and are therefore
prohibited under the Commodity Exchange Act; staff interpretations,
other guidance, and current practices on event contracts; existing law
and regulation applicable to DCMs and futures commission merchants
(FCMs); CFTC examinations, enforcement actions, and investigations;
and other issues including but not limited to Constitutional questions
such as the Commerce Clause, States’ rights and State regulatory
schemes, Federalism, Federal preemption doctrines, and Tribal
sovereignty as well as other federal laws applicable to sports
betting.
The roundtable will include the above topics, in
addition to retail binary options fraud and customer protection,
potential revisions to Part 38 and Part 40 of CFTC regulations to
address prediction markets, and other improvements to the regulation
of event contracts to facilitate innovation. Participants will include
a wide variety of experts and stakeholders representing numerous and
diverse interests in these issues.
Members of the public may
provide feedback, suggestions, and requests to participate as
panelists on the roundtable by February 21, 2025 via email to
[email protected] with “Prediction Markets Roundtable” in the subject
field.